Macroeconomic Dashboard
Real-time economic indicators from the Federal Reserve (FRED). These macro signals provide context for equity analysis — interest rate environment, inflation trajectory, and labor market health.
Last updated: 4/28/2026, 8:13:08 AM
International Macro Context
Trading EconomicsCountry-level economic indicators for international equity analysis. Select a country to view GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, and other macro signals.
How to Read This Dashboard
Yield Curve Inversion
When the 10Y-2Y spread goes negative, the yield curve is inverted. Historically, this has preceded recessions by 12-18 months. A deeply inverted curve (below -0.5%) signals stronger recession risk.
Fed Funds & Inflation
The Fed raises rates to combat inflation and lowers them to stimulate growth. When CPI YoY is above the 2% target, expect rates to stay elevated. Falling CPI toward 2% signals potential rate cuts ahead.
GDP & Employment
Two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth is the informal definition of recession. Unemployment below 4% indicates a tight labor market, which can be inflationary but supports consumer spending.
Impact on Equities
Rising rates compress P/E multiples (especially for growth stocks). Low unemployment supports earnings. An inverted yield curve pressures bank margins. VIX above 25 signals elevated fear and potential buying opportunities.